Tuesday, May 21, 2019

How do the St. Louis Cardinals hitters compare?

The St. Louis Cardinals have an impressive lineup. It is deep. It features pop. And perhaps most importantly of all, it has patience in spades.

The Cardinals bats had a robust April. But its production has fallen off with the calendar turning to May. The lineup has not bailed out bad Cardinals pitching nearly as often in the season’s second month.

Yesterday, we took a look at how the Cardinals’ starters compared to National League starters as a whole in order to give us perspective. Mostly that exercise showed just how bad the St. Louis rotation has pitched in 2019.

Today, we’re going to do a similar exercise for the batters. Instead of comparing the Cardinals hitters just to the National League, we are going to compare them to all MLB non-pitchers. The following chart compares the individual Cardinals regulars (which includes four outfielders), the St. Louis non-pitcher hitting combined, and the stats for MLB non-pitchers.

Batting Stats Through May 20, 2019

K%
BB%
BABIP
BA
OBP
SLG
ISO
wOBA
7.7
Molina
15.6
Fowler
.385
Martinez
.320
DeJong
.408
DeJong
.562
DeJong
.279
Ozuna
.409
DeJong
12.4
Wong
13.9
Carpenter
.358
DeJong
.319
Martinez
.401
Fowler
.512
Ozuna
.242
DeJong
.359
Fowler
16.5
DeJong
12.9
Goldschmidt
.353
Fowler
.273
Fowler
.382
Bader
.447
Bader
.188
Bader
.353
Bader
19.5
Martinez
12.6
Bader
.346
Bader
.267
Molina
.370
Martinez
.442
Goldschmidt
.188
Goldschmidt
.350
Martinez
20.4
STL NP
12.4
Wong
.316
Goldschmidt
.264
STL NP
.354
Goldschmidt
.440
Martinez
.178
MLB NP
.345
Ozuna
21.8
Ozuna
12.1
DeJong
.307
STL NP
.259
Bader
.354
Wong
.435
STL NP
.171
STL NP
.344
Goldschmidt
22.4
Fowler
10.5
STL NP
.292
MLB NP
.254
Goldschmidt
.348
STL NP
.426
MLB NP
.154
Wong
.337
STL NP
22.4
Carpenter
10.4
Ozuna
.269
Molina
.249
MLB NP
.323
MLB NP
.413
Molina
.146
Carpenter
.323
Wong
22.5
MLB NP
9.1
MLB NP
.250
Wong
.242
Wong
.318
Carpenter
.405
Fowler
.145
Molina
.321
MLB NP
27.3
Goldschmidt
7.1
Martinez
.246
Carpenter
.233
Ozuna
.316
Ozuna
.396
Wong
.132
Fowler
.300
Molina
28.2
Bader
3.3
Molina
.231
Ozuna
.205
Carpenter
.293
Molina
.351
Carpenter
.121
Martinez
Carpenter
.291

A few observations:

1)  This lineup is really good. The Cardinals non-pitchers as a whole are better (often comfortably so) than MLB non-pitchers as a whole.

2)  The Cardinals are lacking in power. The only stat in which the Cards are worse than average is in the Isolated Power (ISO) column. ISO is Slugging Percentage (SLG) minus singles. It isolates extra-base hits, hence its name. While the Cards have significant pop in Ozuna and DeJong, Goldschmidt and Carpenter have not brought the thunder as one might fairly expect, so the club’s power numbers have sagged.

3)  The Cards’ plate approach is great.

The club is striking out at a below-average rate. In fact, every Cardinal but Goldschmidt and Bader have struck out less often than MLB non-pitchers as a whole. But Goldschmidt and Bader are two of four Cards providing above-average power, so it’s not that big of a deal.

The club is walking at a very healthy clip. Only two Cards are walking less often than MLB non-pitchers overall. Six Cardinals have a walk rate (BB%) over 12%, which is awesome. That’s why the club’s OBP is 25 points better than MLB non-pitchers. This selective is a good way to maximize the number of ducks the club has on the pond (even if the timely hits prove elusive, as they have in recent weeks).

4)  Paul DeJong is emerging as an MVP candidate. Combine his fielding with his elite hitting at shortstop and DeJong is putting together a season that is similar in its makeup to MV3-vintage Jim Edmonds with power, OBP, and great D at a prime defensive position up the middle.

5)  Matt Carpenter has been quite bad. About the only thing he is doing well right now is drawing walks. Getting Carpenter the most plate appearances of anyone on the team is looking more and more like a flawed approach by manager Mike Shildt, especially with all of the walk-drawing, high-OBP bats to choose from on the club.

6)  Harrison Bader is having a really good season. He has hit as well as Jose Martinez. I love watching a high-BA hitter as much as the next fan, but how much longer can Shildt stick with Martinez in the lineup over Bader when both are providing about the same value with the bat, but Bader is the best defender in the game?

No comments:

Post a Comment